Monthly Archives: January 2016

Episode 090 – Nobody Puts Vanek in the Corner

Posted by Jive on January 24, 2016
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Bring some cheer to this mid-season slump with the 3 in the Box crew.  We discuss the past, present and future of the Wild answering your questions from Twitter and looking ahead to the All Star break.  Does Yeo have the right stuff?  Has the goaltender soap opera been canceled?  Have a listen to the latest episode before the All Star break.

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Episode 089 – GM Dad

Posted by Jive on January 18, 2016
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Catch the latest on the drought in MN.  3 in the Box get to the bottom of the Minnesota nice on the ice and ponder ways to right this ship before it sinks.  GM Fletcher or Fletcher GM or GM Fletcher GM, something has got to change.  Be sure to subscribe to the 3 in the Box podcast on iTunes or your favorite podcasting app so you don’t miss a moment.

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The Doghouse and the Anchor

Posted by Aaron on January 16, 2016
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First off, just let me say that we really haven’t done something like this before.  Normally we do a weekly podcast where we talk for 45-60 minutes about the Wild and how they’ve done in the past week.

With that said, these types of posts probably won’t be a regular thing. We’ll leave the typing stuff to folks like Russo, Derek Felska, The Hockey Wilderness folks, et al.

So why am I typing?  Because there is a guy that’s been firmly parked in Yeo’s doghouse.  There’s plenty of advanced metrics out there that probably show you why or why not he is a good player, but I wanted the most basic question answered: When he is on the ice, do the Wild win?

Of course, if you’ve been following the Wild for the past few seasons, you know that player is Erik Haula.

So I set out to essentially compare the team’s record when that player skates, versus when he does not. Let’s start with the numbers.

PLAYER GP W L OL PTS PTS/82 PP82 DIFF
WILD TEAM 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Erik Haula 39 21 10 8 50 105.1 8.2
Ryan Carter 39 21 11 7 49 103.0 6.1
Marco Scandella 37 19 11 7 45 99.7 2.8
Jonas Brodin 43 22 13 8 52 99.2 2.3
Zach Parise* 34 17 10 7 41 98.9 2.0
Darcy Kuemper 10 4 2 4 12 98.4 1.5
Nate Prosser* 31 16 10 5 37 97.9 1.0
Justin Fontaine* 27 14 9 4 32 97.2 0.3
Ryan Suter 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Thomas Vanek 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Mikael Granlund 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Charlie Coyle 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Nino Niederreiter 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Jason Zucker 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Jared Spurgeon 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Jason Pominville 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Mathew Dumba 44 22 14 8 52 96.9 0.0
Jordan Schroeder 11 5 3 3 13 96.9 0.0
Chris Porter 41 20 13 8 48 96.0 -0.9
Devan Dubnyk 36 19 13 4 42 95.7 -1.2
Mikko Koivu* 43 21 14 8 50 95.3 -1.6
Christian Folin 14 7 5 2 16 93.7 -3.2
Jarret Stoll 15 6 7 2 14 76.5 -20.4

First, it should be noted that for anyone that played less than 5 minutes in a game, I did not count that game for or against them (they’re marked with an *).  PTS/82 is the number of points the team would have if you maintained that same record over an entire 82 games (to put all of the players at an even level) and PP82 DIFF is the difference between their PTS/82 versus the Wild’s. Positive numbers mean the team wins more when you’re on the ice and negative numbers mean the team loses more when you’re on the ice.

Secondly, we’ve got a bunch of guys in the middle who have played all 44 games, so the team’s record when they are on the ice is equal to the actual record. That’s not the interesting part.  The interesting part is on the ends.

PLAYER GP W L OL PTS PTS/82 PP82 DIFF
Erik Haula 39 21 10 8 50 105.1 8.2
Ryan Carter 39 21 11 7 49 103.0 6.1
Christian Folin 14 7 5 2 16 93.7 -3.2
Jarret Stoll 15 6 7 2 14 76.5 -20.4

Sitting halfway through the 2015-2016 season, the Wild win more when Haula is skating. To put his 105.1 points in context, that would’ve been 2nd in our division last year, and would put us above the Blues this season (3rd).  Basically, Yeo might be leaving as many as 4 wins on the floor by starting someone else over Haula.

The other interesting part is Jarret Stoll. He’s the only player on the Wild with at least 4 games played where the team has a losing record (less than a point per game) when he is on the ice.  It’s a smaller sample size than Haula, so things could change, but it’s undeniable that the Wild have not fared well since he’s been in the lineup. Not sure if there’s a good explanation on why the team is so much worse with him in. Obviously he was waived in NY, so they saw something that they weren’t in love with.  He has 0 goals and 1 assist, with a -2 in 15 games for the Wild.  Not good numbers. Perhaps another part is that some feel he’s lost what little foot speed he had.  That could affect line changes and just an ability to get up and down the ice (which would be reflected in the -2).

Bottom line is that it would appear that Yeo has picked the wrong dog for the doghouse, and perhaps Stoll is the anchor that is going to drag this team to the bottom.

Episode 088 – Kenney Laundering

Posted by Aaron on January 14, 2016
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In this off-the cuff midweek edition of 3 In the Box, the boys discuss the poor performance by NBC Sports, whether penalties should be reviewable and a little bit about the Wild.

Episode 087 – Here’s John Scott, Eat it Bettman

Posted by Jive on January 03, 2016
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Welcome to the new year!  Join the 3 in the Box crew as we breakdown our resolutions for the Wild in 2016.  What do you get when your 33 years old and fail to produce?  What do you get when you are a 43 year old that can still put up multiple point games?  Have a listen to find out.